LiontipsDominic Thiem - Alex De Minaur. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 6, 2021).
Command Analysis
Before the start of the Madrid Open, Thiem had not played in official games for more than a month. Therefore it is not so clear what physical form the Austrian athlete is in at the moment.
Nevertheless, Dominic won his first match in the capital of Spain more than confidently - in straight sets he defeated the American Marcos Giron (6-1, 6-3). Thiem has shown that he is well prepared for the current tournament and can expect to get at least into the final of the competition.
De Minaur is not performing very well this season. After he won the tournament in Antalya at the beginning of the year, the Australian tennis player seemingly disappeared.
Although at the current Madrid Open Alex has already won two matches, clay is not his favorite surface. In the first round of the tournament, De Minaur defeated Jaume Munar (4-6, 7-5, 6-1), and in the second round, he beat Lloyd Harris (6-2, 3-0).
Trends
СтавкаTie-break - Yes
De Minaur has played two tie-breaks in the last five matches.
Ставка1st Set: Total Over 9.5
Over 9.5 games have been played in the first set in 3 of Thiem's last 5 matches.
Tip and bets
In his opener in Madrid Thiem showed that he is quite well prepared for the clay season, despite the fact that he has not played for more than a month.
We believe that De Minaur will not be a serious problem for the Austrian athlete. Thiem is confidently leading in the head-to-head with a score of 3-0. We suggest betting on Dominic to win in the upcoming match.
Our prediction - Thiem to win with a handicap (-4).
Thiem leads 3-0 in the head-to-head. Moreover, Dominic only ever lost one set to the Australian. We think that Alex does not have many chances against Thiem on clay, so we believe in the victory of the Austrian in straight sets and suggest betting on total under.
Second prediction - total under 22 games.
