LiontipsChristian Garin vs Daniil Medvedev. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 6, 2021).
Command Analysis
It seemed that after winning the tournament in Santiago Garin would finally show his best game. But the Chilean player has not done that yet: in Europe, he is again inconsistent. And if we can understand and forgive him for losing to Stefanos Tsitsipas and Kei Nishikori, then the defeat by Cameron Norrie is difficult to explain.
In Madrid, Garin has played two matches. In the first one, Chris beat Fernando Verdasco (6-1, 6-4), and in the second he left no chances to Dominik Kepfer (6-3, 6-3).
Medvedev missed quite a lot of clay matches because he was tested positive for coronavirus. This left him without practice until Madrid. Before the first match in the Spanish capital, there were some concerns about the physical health of the Russian player, as for example, Kei Nishikori still cannot fully recover from this disease. But Daniel won his match, even though the victory wasn't easy. He beat Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina in three sets (4-6, 6-4, 6-2).
Let's mention that never before has Daniil passed the first round in Madrid, already twice he went home after the opening match.
Trends
СтавкаTotal Sets Under 2.5
In 6 of the last 9 appearances of Medvedev, the minimum number of sets was played.
Ставка1st Set: Total Under 9.5
In the last three matches of Garin, no more than nine games were played in the first set.
Tip and bets
Garin could beat Medvedev on clay, but not in his current form. The Chilean player is still far from his optimal playing form, with a very shaky performance. We doubt Chris's ability to beat Medvedev and believe that Daniil will win.
Our prediction is Daniil Medvedev to win.
In the match against Davidovich, Medvedev had to play three sets. But Garin is now significantly weaker than the Spanish athlete. We believe that this time the Russian will be more confident. It is unlikely that he will be generous to the Chilean.
Second prediction - total under 22.5 games.
