LiontipsAshleigh Barty vs Paula Badosa. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA Madrid
Command Analysis
Looking at her results and her performances, Ashleigh Barty is capable of winning second title in a row. We can remind that world No. 1 player secured a title at Stuttgart last week. Moreover, there is possibility of repeating the Stuttgart final - Barty v Sabalenka. But for that Ashleigh needs to beat Badosa and Aryna - to beat Pavlyuchenkova in the semi-finals.
Barty didn't lose a set in two of four matches at Madrid. In the first round she crushed Rogers (6:2, 6:1), in the round of 16 she beat Swiatek (7:5, 6:4). But she needed three sets to get over Zidansek (6:4, 1:6, 6:3) and Kvitova (6:1, 3:6, 6:3). We should note that Ashleigh managed to overcome a five game handicap only in her first match.
It is the most successful Madrid tournament in PaulaBadosa's career. Spaniard didn't dissapoint the tournament's organizers, who gave her a wild card for the competition.
Badosa played four matches in the main draw. Just like her semi-final opponent she won two matches in three sets, and the same amount of matches by a 2:0 margin. She had no problems against Krejcikova in the first round (6:1, 7:5). Paula needed three sets to beat Teichmann (5:7, 6:1, 6:2) and Sevastova (6:7, 7:6, 6:0). In the quarter-final Badosa get over Bencic in straight sets (6:4, 7:5).
We can't say that Paula had a tough draw. But she already has one victory over Barty this year. In the beginning of April at Charleston Badosa defeated World No. 1 in straight sets (6:4, 6:3). So you shouldn't underestimate the Spanish player, especially since she is on an excellent form and will play in front of home fans.
Trends
СтавкаSets performance: 1>2
In three out of Barty's four Madrid matches, there were more games played in the first set than in second one
СтавкаSecond set: total over 10.5
In three out of four Bendosa's matches at Madrid there were more than ten games played in the second set
Tip and bets
In our opinion, Spanish player shouldn't be underestimated. She already has one win over Barty, on American clay at Charleston, and she knows what to expect from the world No. 1. Plus, Ashleigh managed to overcome a five-game handicap only in the first round at Madrid.
Our prediction - Badosa to win with a handicap of (+5.5) games.
Both opponents' most recent matches at Madrid were very contested and there were more than 20 games played. So as our second prediction we recommend you to bet on total over.
Second bet is on total over 20 games
