LiontipsRafael Nadal vs Carlos Alcaraz. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Madrid (May 5, 2021).
Command Analysis
Rafael Nadal needs no introduction. Last week, the famous Spanish player added another trophy to his collection by winning Barcelona Open. Surely, he plans to win in the capital of Spain, too.
Despite the fact that he hasn't been in the best form lately, Nadal is still able to deliver. Most bookmakers name Nadal the main contender for the victory in Madrid.
Carlos Alcaraz marked his debut in the current tournament with a fairly confident victory over the experienced Frenchman Adrian Mannarino (6-4, 6-0).
However, he will hardly be able to build on his success in Madrid, because the 17-year-old Spaniard got a tough draw: already in the second round he has to play Rafael Nadal himself. Whatever the outcome may be, for Alcaraz the match against Nadal is a good opportunity to gain experience.
Trends
СтавкаTotal Sets Over 2.5
3 of Nadal's last 5 matches ended in three sets.
Ставка2nd Set: Total Under 9.5
Alcaraz has played under 9.5 games in the second set in 4 out of 5 last matches.
Tip and bets
The difference in the class of the players is significant, so it is unlikely that there will be any intrigue in this match. Nadal will certainly try to take control from the first minutes of the match and to win it without drama.
17-year-old Alcaraz just doesn't have the experience to cope with the powerful attacking style of Rafael. We believe that in this match the eminent Mallorcan will win with a handicap in games.
Our prediction - Nadal to win with a handicap (-6) games.
Nadal is easily the favorite of the match. He should be able to beat Alcaraz in the minimum number of games. We believe that this duel won't last very long and that Nadal from the first minutes of the match will keep the game under his control.
Second Prediction - total under 19 games.
