LiontipsSabalenka vs Kasatkina. Predictions and Betting Tips for WTA Madrid
Command Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka had a successful transition to clay in last week. At Stuttgart tournament Belarusian player reached the final, but Ashleigh Barty didn't let Aryna win a trophy (6:3, 0:6, 3:6).
Despite the loss in a decisive match, Sabalenka got a much needed match practice at Stuttgart. It let Aryna to get fit for the Madrid tournament, in which she easily beat Vera Zvonareva in the first round (6:1, 6:2).
Daria Kasatkina is having a much better season than in two previous years. Russian representative already claimed two titles: at Melbourne and at Saint-Petersburg.
After a win in her country, she had a month-long break. In last week she played at Istanbul tournament. She failed to put up a great performance. After a win over Mrdeza (6:1, 6:0) she lost to Marta Kostyuk (3:6, 5:7).
Her first match at Madrid also drew some questions on her level of fitness (4:6, 6:4, 7:6). She managed to get a comeback win only thanks to her determination and her opponent's mistakes.
Trends
СтавкаTie-break: yes
In all three H2H matches tie-break was played
СтавкаFirst set: total over 8,5
In all three H2H matches there were more than 8 games played in the first set
Tip and bets
Throughout her career, Daria Kasatkina had a hard time against opponents, who have a physical advantage. In matches like this her defensive game just doesn't work. Sabalenka started to play more accurate on the baseline recently. In last two head-to-head matches Daria managed to put up a fight against Aryna only in one set, but failed to win any. We suggest to bet on a confident win for Belarusian player.
Our prediction - Sabalenka to win with a handicap of (-4) games.
In all three head-to-head matches opponents had to play a tie-break and overall played for more than 18 games. We expect the same scenario at Madrid.
Second bet is on total over 19 games.
