LiontipsDenis Shapovalov vs Corentin Moutet. Prediction and Betting Tips for ATP Estoril (April 29, 2021).
Command Analysis
Shapovalov played his first games on clay this season just a few days ago. Last week, the Canadian player played two matches in Barcelona Open.
At the start of the tournament, Denis had a landslide victory over the French player Jeremy Chardy (6-3, 7-5), but in the 1/8 finals, he could not beat Felix Auger-Aliassime. Denis lost to his compatriot in straight sets (2-6, 3-6).
Overall, Moutet played pretty well last week in Barcelona. In Spain, the Frenchman managed to reach the 1/8 finals. During the tournament, Corentin defeated Dominik Koepfer (7-5, 6-2) and Dan Evans (6-4, 5-7, 6-3).
In the 1/8 finals, the Frenchman was powerless against Diego Schwartzman (4-6, 2-6). Moutet started the current tournament in Estoril with a victory over Marcos Giron (6-4, 6-7, 6-4).
Trends
СтавкаTotal over 2.5 sets
3 of the last 5 matches of Moutet ended after three sets.
Ставка2nd set: total over 9.5
In 4 out of 5 Shapovalov's last matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the second set.
Tip and bets
Moutet is a rather inconvenient opponent on clay. The French player has natural flexibility that allows him to return the most fantastic balls into the court.
Nevertheless, we believe that it will be difficult for Corentin to play against attacking Shapovalov. The Canadian plays aggressive tennis, and he will go all-in to defeat his opponent.
Our prediction is Shapovalov to win with a handicap (-3) games.
The attacking style should bring Shapovalov the desired victory in the upcoming match. Of course, Moutet is uncomfortable to play against on clay, but it will still be extremely difficult for him to outplay Denis. We believe that Shapovalov will finish the game in straight sets.
Second prediction - total under 22 games.
