LiontipsPella vs Gerasimov. Predictions and Betting Tips for ATP Munich
Command Analysis
Pella is having a weak season. Argentinian player won only one match out of six this year. He managed to beat Yoshihito Nisioka (6:3, 7:6) at ATP Cup in the beginning of the year.
In all other matches Guido was on the losing side, including three duels on clay, his favourite surface. Most recent defeat was against Kei Nishikori in the first round at Barcelona Open.
It looks like Gerasimov managed to adapt his game to clay surface. Of course it's too early for such conclusions, but he definitely learned to play better on clay.
He already defeated his next opponent on clay surface once. He beat Guido Pella at Cagliari tournament (6:4, 6:0). Belarusian player also secured a win over Jo Wilfried Tsonga in straight sets (7:5, 6:1) at Barcelona.
Trends
СтавкаFirst set: total over 9,5
In 3 out of last 5 Gerasimov's matches more than 9 games were played in the first set
СтавкаTie-break: yes
In five last Pella's and Gerasimov's matches three tie-break were played
Tip and bets
Pella's game is still nowhere to be found. Argentinian won only one match and it was on hard surface. Argentinian is struggling on clay: he lost all three matches on his preferred surface and one of them was against Gerasimov.
Moreover, Belarusian won the second set without conceding any games. We expect another victory for Gerasimov, because Pella's form is terrible right now.
Our prediction - Gerasimov to win.
Last game between these players was not too long ago - at Cagliari tournament, where Gerasimov took an easy win. Pella is yet to find his game, especially on clay, so we believe that Egor will again secure a win in straight sets.
Our second prediction - total under 22 games.
