Sinner vs Rublev: will Italian take advantage of exhausted Russian?
In the quarter-finals of Barcelona Open Yannick Sinner will try to stop Andrei Rublev. Will Italian be able to do that? Read in our prediction.

Command Analysis

Jannik Sinner

Sinner beat Bautista Agut for the fourth time. Looks like Italian player become a Bautista Agut's cryptonite, because Sinner defeated him three times this year. Before that, Yannick also beat Egor Gerasimov (6:3, 6:2) and proved once again that he is in a fine form.
We can note that Sinner played four matches on clay this season. At Monte-Carlo Sinner beat Alberto Ramos (6:3, 6:4), but then was knocked out by Novak Djokovic (4:6, 2:6).

Andrey Rublev

Rublev had a hard road to the quarter-finals. In first two rounds Russian player beat Federico Gaio (6:4, 6:3) and Alberto Ramos (6:4, 6:7, 6:4). The latter win was not an easy one. Looks like Andrei has run out of physical limits. In one of his last interviews he said that he was annoyed of a tight schedule that exhausted him.
Rublev played 31 matches over last four months. He celebrated a victory in 26 of them. Though he had too many losses recently.
Trends
СтавкаSets total under 2.5
Sinner's last four matches finished after two sets

СтавкаFirst set: total over 9,5 games
In four of last six Sinner's matches more than nine games were played in first set

Tip and bets
Match against Ramos showed that Rublev is not at top physical condition, so the Russian player has a risk of losing in this fixture. Sinner is a better player than Spanish veteran, so Russian international will have a hard time. Having all that in mind, we offer to put a bet on Italian player.
Our prediction is on Yannick Sinner to win.
Rublev will probably fight back against Sinner. Russian is trying to give it all in every match. Even if he hasn't much left to give. Rublev will probably perform good at first, so this match will take long.
Our second prediction - total over 20,5 games