LiontipsNadal vs Norrie. Predictions and Betting Tips for ATP Barcelona Open
Command Analysis
Nadal had a great start of the season. In first two rounds of Monte-Carlo Masters he easily crushed Federico Delbonis and Grigor Dimitrov. But after that King of Clay sensationally lost to Andrei Rublev (2:6, 6:4, 2:6).
At Barcelona Rafa's shaky form continued. In his first match he had some problems to beat Belorusian player Ivashka (3:6, 6:2, 6:4). Second match, against Nishikori, also wasn't easy for Rafa. He easily took the first set 6:0, but then suddenly lost the second one (2:6), only in the third set Japanese player was finally beaten (6:2).
Norrie was never known as a good clay player. British played just a little more than 50 matches on that surface. Despite that, Cameron had a great start at Barcelona tournament. In first two rounds Norrie destroyed Salvatore Caruso (6:1, 6:2) and then Karen Khachanov (6:4, 3:6, 6:3). His quarter-final match wasn't played until the end though. David Goffin has withdrawn from the match when the score was at 6:0, 3:5.
Before that season Norrie played at Barcelona only once. In 2019 he was knocked out by Albert Ramos from the first round.
Trends
СтавкаNadal's individual total over 12,5 games
Nadal won over 12 games in every single one of his last three matches
СтавкаFirst set: total under 8,5 games
In 4 of Nadal's last 5 matches no more than eight games were played in the first set
Tip and bets
Nadal is having too many mistakes recently. Looks like Spaniard did not fit well for the clay season. Rafa is trying to gain conditions for Roland Garros. Tournaments like that is just a training ground for the Grand Slam tournament. In that case Nadal won't win this game so easy. We think that Norrie will be able to win some games.
Our prediction is on handicap (+7) to Cameron Norrie.
So far all Nadal's matches in this tournament finished after three sets. Rafa underperformed in a game against Nishikori. Japanese is now on poor form, but still managed to win one set against the Spaniard. Norrie is looking better than Kei, so we expect at least the same performance from him.
Our second bet is on total over 17,5 games.
