Karatsev vs Bedene. Predictions and Betting Tips for ATP Belgrade

Command Analysis

In the beginning of the season Karatsev showed that he plays good on hard surface. In his debut Australian Open tournament he managed to reach the semi-final. Moreover, after that success Russian played won a title at Dubai.
In this season Karatsev played two matches on clay. On last week at Monte-Carlo Aslan beat Lorenzo Musetti (6:3, 6:4) and lost to Stefanos Tsitsipas (3:6, 4:6), eventual winner of the tournament.

Bedene don't have any serious achievements this season. Aljaz played four clay matches in this season. Three of them took place at Cagliari tournament. In Italy Bedene secured wins over Giulio Zeppieri (1:6, 7:5, 7:6) and Egor Gerasimov (6:4, 7:6), but lost in the quarter-final to Taylor Fritz (3:6, 4:6).
At a current Belgrade tournament Bedene started with a victory over Sebastian Korda in three sets (7:5, 1:6, 7:6).
Trends
СтавкаSets total over 2.5
3 of last 5 Bedene's matches finished in three sets.
СтавкаFirst set: total under 9.5
In 4 of last 5 Karatsev's matches first set was played in less than 10 games
Tip and bets
Karatsev is a huge favourite for this game. Bookmakers believe in Russian player, who made a major breakthrough in the beginning of the season reaching the semi final of his debut Grand Slam tournament. Aslan also won a title at Dubai just recently.
We expect that Bedene won't be a serious threat to Russian player. Aljaz can play on clay, but he is not good enough to beat Karatsev.
Our prediction - Karatsev to win with handicap (-3) games.
Karatsev is a much better player than his today's opponent. That's why Aslan is a clear favourite for this game. We expect a win for Russian in straight sets.
Second bet is on total under 22 games.











