LiontipsAston Villa vs Manchester City. Predictions and Betting Tips for English Premier League
Command Analysis
Club from Birmingham have been playing not so good during the second part of the season. In their last match Aston Villa played away on Liverpool and was close to get the points, but conceded a goal during an added time. Game ended with a 1:2 score. On last nine matches Dean Smith's team won only two of them. They managed to beat Leeds (1:0) and Fulham (3:1).
Aston Villa don't have any tournament objectives right now. They have 44 points. Fourth place is out of their reach, fifth and sixth positions, which are European competitions spots, are six points away.
After games against top teams Villans play badly on home. Out of six last home matches Aston Villa lost to West Ham (1:3), Leicester (1:2) and Tottenham (0:2). Aside from Fulham, Dean Smith's side won against shaky Arsenal (1:0) and hold Wolverhampton to draw (0:0). Out of Aston Villa's 14 home matches in this season they won six games, had six losses and two draws.
Two key midfielders won't play in this game: Jack Grealish and Mahmoud Trezeguet, who are both injured. Forward Wesley is also sidelined. Morgan Sanson's participance is doubtful.
Citizens had two losses recently. First of them came from a game against Leeds (1:2). This match was played just before the second leg against Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League, so this loss could be understood. City managed to eliminate Borussia and advanced to the Champions League semi-finals. But on last weekend Manchester lost again. This time to Chelsea on English Cup semi-finals and has been eliminated from the tournament.
Citizens will play a number of important fixtures in the next two weeks, so their schedule is tight. They'll play PSG on Champions League semi-finals and Tottenham on the League Cup. But you shouldn't expect Guardiola's team to slow down in the Premier League. Despite having a solid handicap they still don't confirm their title.
City is currently first in the standings and are ahead of runners-up Manchester United by eight points.
Citizens are currently best team of the league in terms of away games. Man City won nine last away matches in a row and last three with a clean sheet. Of all 15 away matches in the season City won 11 and lost only once.
Midfielder Kevin De Bruyne and striker Sergio Aguero are injured and won't play in this game.
Trends
СтавкаAston Villa with handicap (+1,5)
Aston Villa lost only two of last ten home matches to City
СтавкаDraw in first half
In six of last eight H2H games first time ended with a tie
СтавкаCorrect score 0:2
In five of last seven away matches City haven't conceded any goals
Tip and bets
Manchester City had nine wins over Aston Villa in last ten matches with one draw. Citizens are two heads above their opponents and won't let to keep the intrigue alive.
Our prediction - Manchester City to win with handicap (-1) goal.
You shouldn't expect a blow out in this game. City is having a tight schedule and will try to seal the win with minimal effort. Team haven't concede many goals on away games recently.
Our second wager - both teams to score: No.
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