LiontipsKai Asakura - Cameron Smotherman: betting tip (kef 1.32) and bets on the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Kai Asakura's move to the UFC is still like a roller coaster ride without a happy ending. The Japanese man entered an organization with a big name and the status of a RIZIN star, but the reality turned out to be much tougher. He was immediately thrown under the champion Alexander Pantoja, and he very quickly showed how dangerous it is to go up against the elite without a confident fight. The Brazilian effortlessly moved the fight to the stalls and forced Asakura to capitulate with a painful technique.
It seemed like it would be a lesson, but the next fight against Tim Elliott revealed the same problems again. Asakura still looks vulnerable in the fight and gets lost when the opponent starts working through control. But now the situation looks much more comfortable for the Japanese. He is returning to his more familiar light heavyweight division, where he was once a two-time RIZIN champion and felt as confident as possible.
And most importantly, here he has space for his signature percussion technique again. Asakura knows how to hit outside the box, sharply and very inventively. His knees on the body have long been a hallmark, and his timing and sense of distance are still at a high level.
Current form
Cameron Smotherman broke into the UFC on short notice and then managed to surprise many by defeating Jake Hadley. It seemed that the American was starting a great story in the promotion, but then two defeats in a row followed — from Sergey Sidey and Ricky Simon. Both times it came to the judges' notes, but these fights showed an important detail.: Smotherman looks too straightforward so far.
He works a lot with his hands, tries to keep up the pace, but there is not enough variability in his actions. And against a creative drummer like Asakura, it can be a serious problem. Moreover, the American has already lost by knockouts in the course of his career, and this is an alarming signal before meeting with the Japanese, who knows how to explode in series literally out of nowhere.
Trends
Bet The duel will be complete
The two fighters have nine wins on points.
Tip and bets
Everything here looks pretty simple in terms of styles. Both fighters have problems defending against takedowns, but neither of them is particularly keen to move their opponents to the stalls. This means that there is a high probability that we will have an almost pure kickboxing fight with small gloves. And in such a shootout, Asakura's advantage looks noticeable. The Japanese are faster, more dangerous and much more diverse in attack. Smotherman is able to respond in series, but if the fight turns into a distance exchange, then Kai will have much more opportunities to catch his opponent with a hard hit. It looks like this particular night in Macau could be a reset point in the UFC for Asakura. The Japanese desperately needs a bright victory, and the opponent's style is perfect for finally reminding fans why he was considered one of the main stars of Asian MMA.
Our prediction is Asakura's victory in 1.32
