LiontipsMax Holloway - Charles Oliveira: betting tip (kef 1.66) and bets on the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Max Holloway last appeared in the octagon last summer. Then he closed the trilogy against Dustin Poirier and did it confidently — faster, more accurately and, most importantly, more coolly. Poirier was retiring, but for Holloway, this fight was proof that he was still able to control the elite of the division. This fight took place sixteen months after a heavy defeat by Ilia Topuria. Then it seemed that Max's career might take a wrong turn. But the Blessed One knows how to return.
Even earlier, he gave fans one of the most spectacular moments in the history of the promotion, knocking out Justin Gage at the UFC 300 anniversary tournament. The 34-year-old Holloway has impressive statistics: 23 wins and 8 losses in the UFC. In his professional career, he has 27 wins with 8 losses. Most of the successes came thanks to the striking technique: 12 knockouts and 13 wins by decision of the judges. At the same time, Max holds the UFC records for the number of accurate strikes — more than 3,600 significant hits.
In the history of the promotion, no one has even come close to these numbers. Interestingly, Holloway has already crossed paths with Oliveira. Their first fight took place back in 2015 at the UFC Fight Night tournament in Canada. Then it all ended almost immediately — the Brazilian suffered a strange injury and was unable to continue the fight. More than a decade has passed since then, and now there is much more at stake than just winning.
Current form
Charles Oliveira is approaching this fight after a landslide victory over Mateusz Gamrot in Rio de Janeiro. The Brazilian did what he does best — he caught his opponent in a painful move. Another reminder that he's not to be trifled with in the stalls. Oliveira had been through a difficult period before that. He was defeated by Elijah Topuria, but managed to reboot quickly.
Before that, Do Bronx had a tough fight against Michael Chandler and won by decision. The Brazilian's stats are impressive: 24 wins and 11 losses in the UFC, and a total of 36 wins in his career. Moreover, he won 22 of them by submission. They are the absolute elite of jiu-jitsu. Oliveira holds the organization's record for the number of wins by painful techniques — there are already seventeen of them.
At the same time, Charles always liked to fight in a stand-up position. Sometimes even too much. He often goes into exchanges, although it is the struggle that remains his main weapon. And against fighters of Holloway's level, this can be a key factor — if the Brazilian stays in the stand for too long, the cost of the mistake may be too high.
Trends
Bet The duel will be complete
The two fighters have 17 wins on points.
2.90Tip and bets
This is one of those fights where it's hard not to sympathize with both. Holloway is a tempo machine, Oliveira is a master of unexpected denouements. Their careers have been running roughly parallel in recent years: bright victories, heavy defeats, and a constant desire to prove that they are still among the best. Now both are entering the stage of the so-called legacy battles. And this fight is exactly like that. Winning here is not just a line in the record. This is a status, a history and a chance to consolidate your name among the legends of the division. If you look at the styles, the fight may resemble Holloway's confrontation with Poirier.
Max is able to impose a high tempo, constantly work with a jab and smash the opponent in series. In the lightweight division, his punches look even more powerful than before, and this makes the late knockout scenario quite real. But at the same time, we must not forget: Oliveira is a master of unexpected denouements. One accurate transfer to the stalls, one mistake, and the fight could end instantly. That is why the most logical option is to bet on a prolonged battle. Holloway usually accelerates gradually, but Oliveira knows how to bide his time.
Our betting tip is a total of more than 2.5 rounds in 1.66
