LiontipsSean Strickland - Anthony Hernandez: betting tip (KEF 2.40) and bets on the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Sean Strickland has not been in the cage for a long time. Since February 2025, his name has been mentioned more often in discussions than in battle announcements. Then he lost to Drikus Du Plessis by unanimous decision, and the attempt to regain the belt ended without any particular outbursts. However, between two failures against the South African, he managed to get past Paulo Costa — as always, in a viscous, stubborn style, where each round is scratched through pressure and character.
He has 16 wins and 7 losses in the UFC, and a total of 29-7. It's been three years since the sensation against Israel Adesanya, when Strickland took the title and turned the division around. A lot has changed since then, but his style has remained the same: constant pressure, jab, front kick, a ton of small, exhausting work.
According to the numbers, he has 76 percent protection from takedowns. But statistics are stubborn and crafty at the same time. Du Plessis scored six conversions out of 11 attempts in the first fight. This is a completely different picture — 46 percent protection. There was also a successful takedown in the second match. Of those who systematically tried to fight, Jack Hermansson also comes to mind, but his eight attempts did not lead to anything. The question is who in this story is closer to Hernandez.
Current form
Anthony Hernandez now looks like a man who has found his wave. After losing to Kevin Holland in 2020, he didn't just win eight times in a row — he did it from a position of strength. In August, he strangled Roman Dolidze, before that he confidently dismantled Brendan Allen, and even earlier he methodically broke Michel Pereira for almost four and a half rounds.
6.46 takedowns in 15 minutes with an accuracy of 48 percent is not just an activity, it is a systemic threat. For the last three fights — 23 transfers. He is the division's leader in control time and one of the best at holding a position at the top. It's not a chaotic fight, it's a battle plan that works.
Trends
Bet The duel will be complete
The two fighters have 17 wins on points.
1.88Tip and bets
Both are moving forward. Both like to push. But the difference is that Strickland is exhausting, and Hernandez is breaking. The first one is methodically gaining points, the second one is looking for a moment to drag him into his element — to the net, to the clinch, to the stalls. The main issue is translations. If Hernandez at least regularly brings the fight to the floor, the picture will change dramatically. In the stalls, he hits hard, controls tightly and psychologically suffocates the opponent. Strickland is not one to give up, but if he is forced to work from below round after round, this is no longer his chess, but someone else's game. At the same time, you should not wait for an easy early release. Strickland is tough, patient, knows how to survive and reach the gong. Therefore, the most logical scenario is a dense, viscous battle, where transfers and control will play a key role. The bet on Hernandez is justified. If he wins, it will be on points, confidently, through pressure and struggle.
Our prediction is that Hernandez will win on points in 2.40
