LiontipsChidi Njokuani - Carlos Leal: betting tip (kef 2.05) and bets on the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
Chidi Njokuani stumbled quickly last time — Jake Matthews caught him with a choke in the first round. Before that, the picture was much more pleasant: victories over Eliza Zaleski, Jared Gordon and Rhys McKee showed that Chidi is able to keep the pace and take apart opponents in the rack. However, even earlier he went on a series of three defeats — Michal Olekseychuk, Albert Duraev and Grigory Rodriguez left their marks.
His current record in the UFC is 5-4. His main weapon is accuracy. 62 percent of hits is an elite indicator, one of the best in the promotion. When he works from a distance and doesn't let himself be dragged into a sticky fight, his punches look clean and focused. His tall stature, long arms, and ability to sense timing all make him extremely uncomfortable in a standing position.
Current form
Carlos Leal is a fire fighter. His UFC start turned out to be turbulent. First, a controversial defeat to Rinat Fahretdinov in Dubai, then a striking technical knockout of Alex Morono in the first round. And then there was a cold shower in the form of a quick knockout from Muslim Salikhov, when one precise counter—hook crossed out the status of the favorite.
Leal works at a crazy pace — 9.57 accurate strokes per minute for three fights. This is even higher than the current statistical leaders, although more matches are needed for the official tables. The problem is something else: he himself skips 7.61 beats per minute. Such openness can be costly against a precision sniper. He fights bravely, goes to the exchange, is not afraid of risk. But against Njokuani, every extra step forward without protection is an invitation to counterattack.
Trends
Bet The duel won't be complete
The two fighters have 29 knockout wins.
1.11Tip and bets
Everything here smells of panic. Both know how to turn off the lights, both are not inclined to a careful chess game. But there is an important detail — the handspan. Njokuani has an advantage of about 15 centimeters. In a fight where fractions of a second and the length of the distance decide, this is a serious factor. If Chidi is disciplined and does not allow himself to be dragged into a chaotic cabin, his accuracy and size should play a key role. Leal is dangerous when the opponent accepts his game. But if Njokuani brings his own, with distance control and punctuated shots, it will be difficult for the Brazilian to reach the goal.
Our betting tip is that Njokuani will win in 2.05
