LiontipsVivian Araujo - Tracy Cortez: betting tip and bets for the fight
Command Analysis
Current form
The situation before the fight is interesting: both athletes return after a break, and it is these fights that usually turn out to be especially viscous. We haven't seen Vivian Araujo since November last year, when she unexpectedly defeated Karin Silva at UFC 309. Then the 38-year-old Brazilian showed that it was too early to write her off. She has 13 wins (three by knockout, four by submission and six by decision), while she has been defeated six times. There is a vulnerability in protection against transfers — only 43 percent of successful defense. Nevertheless, Vivian confidently holds on to the top 10, ranking eighth in her category.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Araujo's punches is 48 percent.
Current form
But Tracy Cortez last entered the octagon in July — and it was like jumping into a pool. She was suddenly replaced in the main fight of the evening against Rose Namayunas, and everything went wrong there. Cortez lost on points, and along with the victory, her fighting spirit took away. On paper, everything looks quite solid: 11 wins (one by knockout, one by submission, nine by decision), only two defeats and tenth place in the division. However, the statistics of protection from takedowns is 46 percent, and the accuracy of strikes is only 24 percent. These are not championship figures, to put it mildly.
Interesting betting trends
The accuracy of Cortez's punches is 24 percent.
Trends
The bet is Araujo's victory by decision of the judges
Statistics of Araujo's wins on points — 46 percent
2.70Tip and bets
Bookmakers prefer Cortez, but this is the case when the favoritism is rather nominal. Araujo and Cortez are really close in style: both prefer to fight, both are not inclined to take risks in the rack, both are able to knit rivals on the ground. But in such battles, it's often not the technique that decides, but the character — who wants more, who knows how to stand up when the fight doesn't go according to plan. And that's where Vivian has a noticeable advantage. She's angrier, she has more experience, and she's shown more than once that she can handle pressure. She also has decent jiu-jitsu in her arsenal, which can be key in the clinch and on the floor. Yes, Cortez translates well, but what to do when she finds herself at the bottom is a big question.
Our prediction is that Araujo will win in 2.90
