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Gabriel Green as Mateus Camilo. Betting Tip for the fight

International
Gabriel Green
USA
Lightweight
ufc-apex

Gabriel Green, a fighter of the Absolute Fighting Championship in the lightweight category, will face Mateus Camilo. The fight will take place on May 18 as part of the UFC Fight Night 256 tournament in Las Vegas (USA) at the home venue of the UFC Apex promotion, which can accommodate about one thousand spectators. The approximate start of the fight is 01:00 Moscow time. Will the American be able to succeed in a duel with the Brazilian and which bets to choose? - read in our betting tip

Gabriel Green vs Matheus Camilo Prediction and Betting Tips (18.05.2025)

Command Analysis

Gabriel Green

USA

Current form

Gabriel Green, aka Gifted, is an American fighter with a purple belt in jiu-jitsu, who went through fire and water. In 2018, he became the California Xtreme Fighting champion, then disappeared for two years, and in 2020 he made his UFC debut. But in the octagon, his career is like a roller coaster. The last time he was seen was in May 2023, when Brian Battle knocked him out in 15 seconds - it's like a knockout on a first date. 

Before that, Green hadn't fought in a year after losing by decision to Ian Machado Harry. The 32-year-old Californian has 11 wins (four by knockout, one by decision, six by submission), but he has not entered the cage for more than two years and is absent from the MMA world rankings. 

Interesting betting trends

The success rate of Green's takedowns is 50 percent.Gabriel has finished his opponents in the first round in five fights in his career.The accuracy of strikes is 45 percent.

Matheus Camilo

Brazil

Current form

Mateus Camilo is a Brazilian phenomenon who got into the UFC without Contender Series, Road to UFC or TUF. His ticket to the strongest league in the world is to defeat a fighter who publicly begged Dana White to give him a chance at a press conference. Prior to that, the 24-year-old Brazilian worked in Latin American promotions, as well as in Fury Fighting Championship and Shooto Brasil. He has nine wins (four by knockout, three by decision, two by submission) and two defeats. Camilo is ranked 61st in the North American regional rankings, and his UFC debut is like jumping off a ski jump into the deep ocean. 

Interesting betting trends

Camilo lost both fights in his career by submission.

Trends

The bet is Camilo's victory by knockout

Camilo's knockout victory statistics are 44 percent

2.85
2.85

Tip and bets

2.06Total more than 2.5 rounds

The bookmakers are betting on Camilo, and their logic is clear: he's young, active, and bright-eyed, while Green hasn't fought in two years. This fight looks like the UFC is testing the Brazilian, and the American is testing his strength. Dana White likes stories like this: sign a guy with an unusual background and see what he shows. But here's the question: is Camilo ready for the UFC level? His victories in regional promotions are like a school championship, and Green, despite being simple, is a fighter with experience in the strongest league in the world.Green can drag the fight into the stalls. But Mateus, apparently, prefers a stand. If Gabriel is rusty, the Brazilian can cut through him like a knife through butter. But if the American is fit, his experience will be a problem for the debutant. There are too many unknowns to bet on a favorite. The fight will drag on: Green will be careful, and Camilo will not attack from the first blow.

Our betting tip is a total of more than (2.5) rounds in 2.06

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TOP Tips

18 May | 08:30
Арсенал:
Ньюкасл
1.87

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