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Alex De Minaur as Lorenzo Musetti. Prediction for the ATP Madrid match

Spain
Alex de Minaur
Australia
29.04.25
Alex de Minaur2 : 0Denis Shapovalov
26.04.25
Alex de Minaur2 : 0Lorenzo Sonego
18.04.25
Carlos Alcaraz2 : 0Alex de Minaur
17.04.25
Jacob Fearnley0 : 2Alex de Minaur
15.04.25
Tomas Etcheverry0 : 2Alex de Minaur
12.04.25
Lorenzo Musetti2 : 1Alex de Minaur
Madrid Open
manolo-santana
Italy
01.05.25
Lorenzo Musetti2 : 0Gabriel Diallo
29.04.25
Flavio Cobolli0 : 2Nikola Mektic
29.04.25
Stefanos Tsitsipas0 : 2Lorenzo Musetti
27.04.25
Flavio Cobolli2 : 1Sadio Doumbia
26.04.25
Tomas Etcheverry0 : 2Lorenzo Musetti
13.04.25
Lorenzo Musetti1 : 2Carlos Alcaraz

De Minaur and Musetti will meet in the fourth round of the Masters in Madrid on April 30. Most recently, at the Monte Carlo Masters, Musetti defeated De Minaur in three sets. However, the Australian looked decent in that match and sometimes even outplayed the Italian. Is Alex ready to take revenge on Lorenzo in the upcoming match on the faster courts of Madrid? - the bets for this match are in our betting tip

Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction and Betting Tips (30.04.2025)

Command Analysis

Alex de Minaur

Australia

Current form

De Minaur defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-3, 7-6 in the third round of the Madrid tournament. Alex scored one ace, made two break points, and did not lose a single game on his serve. In the second round, the Australian beat Lorenzo Sonego.

Professional qualities

De Minaur is a prime example of a player whose progress is visible to the naked eye. Alex still impresses with his movement on the tennis court, but now he has added a stable serve to this. He has become more confident in himself and is increasingly taking the initiative, trying to play number one.

Current indicators in the tour

The seventh place in the world ranking is currently occupied by De Minaur. During his career, the 26-year-old Australian has won nine ATP titles. Last season, Alex won on hard court in Acapulco and on grass in 'S-Hertogenbosch.

Interesting facts for betting

The last five matches involving De Minaur were played in two sets.

Lorenzo Musetti

Italy

Current form

Muzetti beat Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-5, 7-6 in the third round of the Masters in Madrid. Lorenzo made four aces, made two break points and lost one game on his serve against the Greek. In the second round, the Italian beat Thomas Etcheverry.

Professional qualities

Muzetti's one-handed backhand cannot be called stable. From time to time, this shot performed by the Italian fails, but in his best form, Lorenzo, due to his backhand, is able to cause problems to any opponent, not only on the ground, but also on a faster hard court. The Italian reads the game well and knows how to respond well with powerful counterattacks.

Current indicators in the tour

Musetti has won two ATP trophies in his career. He issued them in 2022 at tournaments in Hamburg and Naples. The 23-year-old Italian tennis player is currently ranked 11th in the world rankings.

Interesting facts for betting

Muzetti has won 8 of the last 10 matches.

Trends

IT De Minaur'srateis more than 11.5

De Minaur has won more than 11.5 games in 8 of the last 9 matches

1.33
1.33

The Totalbetis more than 20.5

Musetti has played more than 20.5 games in his last 5 matches.

1.46
1.46

IT Musetti'sbidis more than 11.5

Muzetti has won more than 11.5 games in 7 of the last 8 matches

1.47
1.47

Muzetti's handicapbet(+2.5)

Muzetti has won games with a handicap (+2.5) in 7 of the last 8 matches

1.62
1.62

The 1st setbetis De Minaur's victory

De Minaur won the 1st set in 7 of the last 8 matches

1.88
1.88

Bet the 2nd set - Muzetti wins

Muzetti won the 2nd set in 7 of the last 8 matches

2.08
2.08

Tip and bets

1.79De Minaur's victory

Just recently, the tennis players had a face-to-face match at the Monte Carlo Masters, in which Muzetti won in three sets. We expect that a rematch will take place in the upcoming meeting. Alex was in no way inferior to the Italian on the courts of Monaco - moreover, he even surpassed him in some game moments. Having worked on the mistakes, we believe the Australian will be able to pass Lorenzo.

Our prediction is that De Minaur will win by a factor of 1.79

Do you agree with this bet?
1.84The total is more than 22

Bet on the total

De Minaur and Musetti had previously met three times during their careers. All three matches were played through the top, including their recent meeting in Monte Carlo. We expect that the upcoming match between the tennis players will also be successful.

The second betting tip is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.84

Bet on the first set

In three of Musetti's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. Most likely, the upcoming meeting against De Minaur will also start with the grassroots first game.

The betting tip is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.99

Do you agree with this bet?

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Betting predictions stat

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5tips
3win
0refund
2losing
0.08%of profit
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382tips
178win
38refund
166losing
-3.96%of profit