Liontips
San Jose vs. Detroit: NHL Match Prediction
In the final game of the game day on November 19, San Jose will play against Detroit in California. Ryan Warfovsky team has finally started to score points and left the last place in the Western Conference standings. The Wings have a huge number of problems, and even with their very strong roster, the guys from Michigan are only in 14th place in the East. Which of the outsiders will be more successful on the ice of the SAP Center arena? Read our prediction for the match
Command Analysis
San Jose Sharks
USACurrent form
San Jose is gradually recovering from an extremely unsuccessful start. The team from California lost nine games in a row at the very beginning of the season, but is now slowly gaining points. The Sharks are in the penultimate place in the Western Conference standings and have earned only 14 points in 19 games. The Sharks had a pretty good away game. They won in Newark (1:0), lost in a shootout in Pennsylvania (3:4, B), and held on well in New York (2:3). In the last game, Ryan Warfovsky charges lost to Pittsburgh in a shootout (3:4, B). For the second time in November, the hosts came back from a 0:3 deficit during the match, but still could not take an additional point.
MacLean Celebrini has recovered from his previous injury and it will be easier for the hosts to score. However, in his previous six starts, he has only made two scoring plays. Now, Mikael Granlund remains the attack leader, having contributed 19 times to goals (8+11). Tyler Toffolli is also gradually getting back into shape. The Canadian has 14 points (8+6) in the goal+pass system.
The Sharks have improved their defense and have not conceded more than three goals in their last four games. Mackenzie Blackwood and Vitek Vanecek continue to battle for the right to be the Sharks' number one goalkeeper. So far, the goalkeepers have stopped only 89% of attacks on their territory and cannot boast of reliable play in the last line. After Vanecek injury, the role of the main goalkeeper went to Blackwood.
Disqualifications and injuries
Logan Couture, Niko Sturm and Mark Vlasic will not participate in the upcoming fight. Vitek Vanecek is questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Statistically, San Jose receives 8.58 penalty minutes per game.
The Sharks are not among the most disciplined clubs and are sent off on average at least five times
- The Sharks have a 17% power play percentage.
San Jose is poor at using the power play advantage, ranking 24th in the league in that category.
Detroit Red Wings
USACurrent form
Detroit continues to surprise with its weak results this fall. The team from Michigan is only in 14th place in the conference with 15 points after 17 games. The Wings cannot produce a long winning streak and now they have a five-game streak without a win in regulation time. The away series began for Derek Lalonde charges with a victory in Pennsylvania over the local Penguins (3:2, OT), but in California the visitors have already lost to Anaheim (4:6) and Los Angeles (1:4). In the confrontation with the Kings, the Michiganders gave the initiative to their opponent and conceded two goals in 22 seconds, losing the match at the end of the first 20 minutes.
Dylan Larkin team is the weakest team in the conference in terms of scoring. On average, Detroit scores only 2.47 goals per game, while in the last five games, the Red Wings have scored only eight goals. Alex DeBrincat (7+9) is the club new leading scorer. He recently overtook Lucas Raymond (2+14), but so far only in the number of accurate shots.
The defense of the "wings" can hardly be called reliable. Yes, compared to other outsiders, it does not look so bad. However, every tenth shot on target of the "reds" goal reaches the target. Cameron Talbot is a bright spot in the team goalkeeping line. Alex Lyon and Ville Husso play very poorly, and Jack Campbell got injured and cannot help his partners.
Disqualifications and injuries
Jack Campbell, Mikael Rasmussen and Simon Edvinsson will not be in California on Tuesday.
Interesting trends for betting
- Detroit averages 17 hits per game
The visitors play a less physical style of hockey, but they often meet their opponents with physical attacks.
- Krylia Sovetov has a 15:19 record in goals scored and conceded in the second period
The Red Wings concede a lot in the third period of games and often lose in the third period.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In six out of eight matches between the teams, the first period was scoreless.
2.02Bet 3rd period: San Jose will score
The Sharks have scored in the third period for three straight games.
1.48Tip and bets
San Jose does not look like a favorite in the upcoming match, but it is not worth overestimating the guests here either. The Sharks clung to points in November and gave a worthy rebuff to fairly strong opponents. Detroit scores very little and does not use its main weapon. In addition, it is unlikely that the defense of the "wings" can be called flawless. We do not think that Derek Lalonde charges will dominate in California and win easily. We suggest betting on a double chance of the first for a very pleasant coefficient.
Prediction - San Jose will not lose at 1.75
Bet on individual total
Detroit is weak on offense, although the visitors have a lot of great attacking players. The Red Wings score only 2.47 goals per game, while in their last five starts they scored only eight times. San Jose, as always, concedes a lot, but the hosts are able to contain the Wings. Over the course of four games, the Sharks have not conceded more than three goals.
We take Detroit individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.60
Total Bet
Matches involving San Jose often end up being low-scoring. The team from California has recently been focusing on defensive actions, which has a detrimental effect on creating chances forward. Detroit simply does not have the resources to break such a big total on its own. We suggest betting on a total of less than six goals.
We take the total under 6.5 goals for 1.60
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